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What Economic Future for the Mideast? |
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By GORDON FELLER
The oil price boom is spurring economic growth in the Middle East
While armed conflicts escalate, the Middle
East is in the midst of an oil boom reminiscent of
the 1970s and 80s, but this time, instead of spending
most of their profits, oil producing countries are managing
the windfall with restraint, according to a new World
Bank report on the Middle East and North Africa region.
MENA Economic Developments and Prospects 2006: Financial
Markets in a New Age of Oil finds that oil producers are increasingly
turning finite oil wealth into longer-term revenue
streams.
They’re also showing fiscal restraint by building up savings,
paying down debt, and setting up oil stabilization funds, says
the report, the second in a new series of annual reports on
economic developments in the Middle East region.
The oil producers’ behavior differs from that of previous
oil booms, when they built up debt and banked on continued
high oil prices to fuel their expansion. When the oil price
declined, many were caught with large debts.
This time, “there’s a realization that they can’t do things as
before,” says Jennifer Keller, Senior Economist in the World
Bank’s Office of the Chief Economist for the Middle East and
North Africa Region and principal author of the report.
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Copyright 2007 Islamica Magazine.
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